2011 was a year of radical change with uprisings, a new country in Africa, financial turmoil and financial miracles. The same, fortunately or unfortunately, could not be said of the Australian top ten selling vehicles. Other than a few re-models and a brief shuffle of the deck very little has changed in the last ten years. In this weeks blog we give our tips for the top in 2012 and, unless something very big comes along, we're predicting very little change.
Using last years results coupled with January 2012 results we have compiled ten vehicles that we expect to occupy the top ten come 31st December 2012. Other than the two new entrants of the Mazda 2 and the VW golf we don’t expect anything other than a few tumbles and a few small jumps.
1. Mazda 3
2. Holden Cruze
3. Holden Commodore
4. Toyota Corolla
5. Hyundai i30
6. Toyota Hilux
7. Mazda 2
8. Nissan Navara
9. Toyota Camry
10. VW Golf
Toyota had a very difficult 2011 and with a cold start to 2012 we would expect their struggle to continue, at least untill their waiting times get back to normal. However something very significant would need to happen to take the number 1 manufacturers spot from the Japanese giants. Something similar could happen with Holden however with the new Barina and new Cruze we would expect that a drop in Commodore sales will probably be easily offset.
Among those who should experience a relatively successful 2012 would be KIA, VW, Hyundai, Jeep and Great Wall. This group had a very positive 2011 and we predict they will continue to eat into both the publics consciousness and big players sales boards.
January 2012 brought a very good start for the car industry as a whole and as things gradually come back to normal manufacturers may experiment a little more. That said we would still be extremely surprised to see any of the new electric cars getting into the top ten or even the top 20. All in all 2012 is likely to see conservatism from both buyers and sellers as everyone watches things slowly get back to normal in the fragile world of car sales.